Halftime with Hambone

Today’s discounts include four NBA points props:

I settled on Kyrie Irving over 21.5 points mainly looking at tools on Betting Pros. That is a fantastic website that I discovered when attempting to research Underdog and PrizePicks props.

Kyrie’s projection on the link above is 27.9 points, good for the over on the original line. In addition to that, the betting line on several websites including Sugarhouse, BetRivers, and Unibet is now at 27.5 from an opening of 26.5 points.

My 2nd favorite was Tyrese Haliburton due to the line being so low, and his projection on Betting Pros of 21.6 points once again projecting to hit the original line. What made me nervous is several sports book juicing Haliburton Under 19.5 points around -122 to -127.

I don’t doubt that Jokic or Mitchell can hit as well, but Cleveland is on the 2nd night of a back-to-back while Jokic’s line seems to good to be true. If I had to pick, I’d take Jokic at 21.5 points, but Mitchell I can see staying under so just grab the extra points to 26.

What to pair with?

Of course, on Underdog you must pick at least two props to submit an entry. Lately, I’ve been focusing on tennis total games props because it’s fast and easy to compare odds and lines (explained below). I want the half-game included in the prop to avoid a push. I settled on an ATP match between Alex de Minaur and Sebastian Ofner tonight in Mexico.

You’re probably thinking, “Hambone, who in their right mind is picking obscure tennis matches around the world?” Well, you’ve found at least one person right here… (and I never promised to be in my right mind)

On Underdog, I am 3 for 3 in tennis props. Over on PrizePicks, I am at 11 wins and 3 losses. Clearly a tiny sample, but we’ll take it!

Over on the super convenient website Odds Portal, you can view a bunch of sports books’ lines all at once. I try to find a total that has juice one way or the other and it’s just a few clicks to compare different lines. Here is what I saw when I picked de Minaur:

Further, if you hover your mouse over the odds, you can see line movement:

As you can see, Under 19.5 games had opening odds of -102 and now -123 at Pinnacle. And nearly every line is juiced to the under. Combine this with de Minaur being a massive -1200 or longer favorite, and we have a selection in my book.

The entry:

Alex de Minaur – Lower 19.5 Games played (vs. Ofner) ATP Acapulco

Kyrie Irving – Higher 21.5 points (DAL @ TOR) NBA